Looking back, 2017 will most likely be viewed as the turning point in agricultural equipment sales for this cycle. While there will probably remain some weakness in the larger tractors and combines in 2018, there are definite signs of a bottom developing.
Our models track commodity prices, international currency exchange rates, total number of farms, total number of farms by gross production value. Here is our 2018 U.S. forecast and the rationale of how we arrived at those numbers.
2017 continues to appear to be a base-building period and, while large tractors are woefully below our original forecast, there is some evidence that they won’t go much lower in 2018.
Farm equipment sales history is replete with hills and valleys and we certainly are in a valley now. Traditionally, the range between the hilltop and the valley floor is about 20% in terms of unit sales.
Farm equipment sales history is replete with hills and valleys and we certainly are in a valley now. Traditionally, the range between the hilltop and the valley floor is about 20% in terms of unit sales.
Our data allows us to take a very objective view of the current situation in the agricultural equipment markets and all are pointing toward a solid base building this year. There are concerns about the export markets from several perspectives.
There are definitely signs that there is some strength building into the tractor markets as the year continues to progress. Confidence on rural main street remains high even though the political in-fighting in Washington D.C. roils.
In this episode of On the Record, brought to you by Associated Equipment Distributors, Jason Webster, commercial agronomist with PTI Farm, breaks the results of PTI Farm’s 2024 HIgh Speed Planting Corn Study.
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